Lee Elci: Your recent column discusses Governor Lamont’s quiet implementation of a hiring freeze on state employees. You describe this as a stealth move. Why is he doing this silently?
Red Jahncke: Well, I think he's been caught off guard. State employee compensation has skyrocketed, consuming a large portion of the budget and squeezing out other spending. The question becomes: What do you cut? Lamont is under significant pressure from progressives in his party, so he halted hiring within the state workforce for the remainder of March, April, May, and June to remain within the budget—at least temporarily. However, this is just a preview of a much larger impending problem.
Lee Elci: You have to admit, this seems like a small victory. You've been addressing the 33% wage increase over the last five or six years. This hiring freeze appears to be a win.
Red Jahncke: Yes. Labor costs are determined by two factors: the pay rate and the size of the workforce. We've criticized the state for both significantly increasing pay rates (a 33% raise) and simultaneously expanding the workforce. That's the classic double whammy. Over the past two years, the cost of the unionized workforce has risen by 18%. Many people are confused about fiscal guardrails, particularly the volatility cap. However, the key issue here isn't the fiscal guardrails themselves but rather the excessive compensation of state employees crowding out other spending.
Lee Elci: Lamont has a Yale background he often references. Still, he didn't seem to anticipate the combined impact of pay rates and workforce size on labor costs. What does this suggest about his fiscal acumen?